One big fact has largely been lost in the recent coverage of the Democratic presidential race: Hillary Rodham Clinton has virtually no chance of winning.If the Hillary team shares the view that they can't win, why then are they not throwing in the towel, so as too exit the arena with some grace, especially considering the campaign is running out of money?
Her own campaign acknowledges there is no way that she will finish ahead in pledged delegates. That means the only way she wins is if Democratic superdelegates are ready to risk a backlash of historic proportions from the party’s most reliable constituency.
Unless Clinton is able to at least win the primary popular vote — which also would take nothing less than an electoral miracle — and use that achievement to pressure superdelegates, she has only one scenario for victory. An African-American opponent and his backers would be told that, even though he won the contest with voters, the prize is going to someone else.
People who think that scenario is even remotely likely are living on another planet.
As it happens, many people inside Clinton’s campaign live right here on Earth. One important Clinton adviser estimated to Politico privately that she has no more than a 10 percent chance of winning her race against Barack Obama, an appraisal that was echoed by other operatives.
I can only speculate what the answer to this is. Perhaps Hillary, who was after all considered a shoo-in, has not come to grips with the fact that she lost.
Then, perhaps it is worse than that. The Clintons have run the Democratic party for for roughly 16 years now. No elite gives up power without a fight, and the Clintons are nothing if not political fighters. Is it too much to believe they'd rather see Obama lose in the general election, if it meant they could keep control of the party?
Either way, all Hillary can do now is damage the Obama's chance of being elected. It is in every Democrat's interests (except perhaps the Clintons') for that to be recognized. Party elders (Gore, Pelosi) should make it know to the Clinton that they had a good run, but it's time for someone else to lead the party.